Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
November 13
×1.0
>99¢
>99%
November 15
×1.0
96¢
96%
November 18
×1.1
93¢
93%
$53.4m Vol.
·
+5 more
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
December 31
×1.2
81¢
81%
November 30
×1.6
62¢
62%
November 22
×2.1
48¢
48%
$1.3m Vol.
·
+2 more
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31
×1.7
59¢
59%
December 31
×4.0
25¢
25%
December 15
×7.1
14¢
14%
$52.7m Vol.
·
+2 more
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes
9¢
9%
×12
No
92¢
92%
×1.1
Chance
9%
9%
92%
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31, 2027
×2.0
50¢
50%
March 31, 2027
×4.1
25¢
25%
December 31
×15
7¢
7%
$4.3m Vol.
·
Crude Oil all time high by...?
March 31, 2027
×6.9
14¢
14%
December 31
×22
5¢
5%
14%
5%
$6.1m Vol.
·
Polymtrade
/
Geopolitics
Geopolitics prediction markets
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
Crude Oil all time high by...?
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Iran full airspace closure by...?
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by...?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
Trump out as President before 2027?
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Iran leadership change by...?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by...?
Next leader out of power before 2027?
US military action against Cuba by...?
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)
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