What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

PoliticsIranPeace DealNegotiation TopicsNuclearGeopoliticsUraniumU.S. x IranEnrichFund
Start Date
2026-06-24
End Date
2026-12-31
24h Volume
$16K
Total Volume
$557K
  • Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?20¢
  • Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?21¢
  • Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?14¢
  • Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?10¢
  • Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?16¢
  • Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?18¢

Rules

Negotiations between the United States and Iran center on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz navigation, and related security issues, following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding that reopened the waterway for an initial period while launching technical talks on broader terms. Recent exchanges through intermediaries have stalled over control of inbound traffic and verification mechanisms, with proposals for Iranian oversight of certain routes remaining a point of contention. These developments, alongside scheduled follow-on discussions and potential extensions of the 60-day negotiation window, shape trader assessments of likely inclusions such as phased sanctions adjustments, IAEA monitoring commitments, and maritime access provisions in any finalized 2026 agreement.