- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?2¢2%
- Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027?7¢7%
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?9¢9%
- 1.7%December 31, 2026$28.3m Vol.
- 1%6.5%March 31, 2027$24.4k Vol.
- 8.5%June 30, 2027$880.1k Vol.
Vladimir Putin maintains firm control over Russia’s political system following his 2024 re-election, with his current term extending to 2030 under constitutional rules that reset prior term limits. Recent developments center on his direct engagement in Ukraine peace negotiations, including November 2026 meetings with U.S. envoys where he reiterated demands for territorial control and opposed foreign peacekeeping forces, while signaling openness to limited European involvement in talks. These diplomatic activities, alongside scheduled APEC discussions, underscore his active leadership role without indications of transition pressures. The next presidential vote remains years away, and no verified institutional or health events have altered the baseline stability of his position in the short term.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.