Putin out as President of Russia by...?
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?8¢
- Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?1¢
- Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?2¢
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?12¢
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vladimir Putin remains entrenched as Russia’s president following his March 2024 reelection, with constitutional amendments resetting term limits and permitting service potentially until 2036. Trader consensus on short-term removal markets reflects this institutional consolidation, high approval ratings above 65 percent in recent polls, and the absence of credible internal challengers or succession signals. Recent developments reinforcing stability include Putin’s active role at the June 2026 St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, military command adjustments, and a public visit to the Kuril Islands in August 2026 that countered external speculation about health or isolation. The September 2026 State Duma elections represent the next scheduled political event but affect legislative seats rather than the presidency, with the next presidential vote set for 2030. Any shift in odds would require verifiable changes in elite alignment or formal term-related announcements.