Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?28¢
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?<1¢
- Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?<1¢
- Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?<1¢
- Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?<1¢
- Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?<1¢
- Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?<1¢
- Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?<1¢
- Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?<1¢
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?6¢
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?53¢
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?6¢
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Gadi Eizenkot leads trader consensus for Israel's next prime minister following the October 27, 2026 Knesset election due to his rapid rise as leader of the centrist Yashar party and consistent polling strength against Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud. Recent surveys show Yashar overtaking Likud in projected seats, driven by Eizenkot's military record as former IDF chief of staff, personal losses during the Gaza conflict, and appeal to voters seeking alternatives amid coalition strains and security debates. Netanyahu retains backing from right-wing and religious parties but faces headwinds from ongoing legal proceedings, public fatigue over prolonged conflicts, and opposition efforts to consolidate under figures like Naftali Bennett. Avigdor Lieberman and other candidates trail as traders assess coalition math and bloc viability in a fragmented Knesset. Market prices reflect real-time assessments of these electoral dynamics.