Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?7¢
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ukraine's ongoing martial law, extended for the 20th time through October 31, 2026, constitutionally bars presidential elections and reinforces Zelenskyy's continued authority as incumbent until a successor is inaugurated. This legal framework, paired with the active conflict and lack of a scheduled vote before late 2026, underpins the strong trader consensus against his departure by year-end. Recent diplomatic activity, including Zelenskyy's proposals to the U.S. on war termination and statements signaling willingness to forgo reelection only after hostilities cease, has not altered the timeline. Public polling shows preference for post-war elections but consistent opposition to wartime voting, further stabilizing the current leadership structure.