- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?2¢2%
Ongoing martial law, most recently extended by presidential decree and parliamentary vote until January 29, 2027, prohibits presidential elections under Ukrainian law, while Article 108 of the constitution extends the incumbent’s powers until a successor is sworn in. Zelenskyy has repeatedly stated that fair voting requires security guarantees or a ceasefire, conditions absent in recent U.S.-brokered talks focused on prisoner exchanges and diplomacy rather than immediate cessation of hostilities. With no scheduled vote possible before early 2027 and broad domestic consensus against wartime balloting, trader pricing reflects these institutional and security constraints. Late diplomatic breakthroughs enabling a rapid, secure vote or unforeseen events such as resignation or health developments remain the primary variables that could still shift the outcome before year-end.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.