The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
JD Vance holds the top position in 2028 presidential winner markets at 23.1% as the sitting vice president, benefiting from high visibility within the Republican coalition and established donor networks ahead of the primaries. Marco Rubio at 12.3% draws support from his role as secretary of state and foreign policy record, creating a competitive lane against Vance in early GOP polling. On the Democratic side, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads at 12.8% amid progressive mobilization, while Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff trail closely as potential establishment alternatives in a fragmented field. The wide dispersion of remaining probabilities reflects the absence of formal declarations or major 2026 midterm results that could consolidate backing behind fewer contenders through demonstrated fundraising, endorsements, or state-level performance.