- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?17¢17%
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?13¢13%
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?9¢9%
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?9¢9%
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?7¢7%
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?6¢6%
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?3¢3%
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?3¢3%
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?3¢3%
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2¢2%
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1¢1%
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1¢1%
17.4%Jon Ossoff$7.1m Vol.
4%12.9%JD Vance$19.1m Vol.
9.4%Marco Rubio$13.5m Vol.
1%9.3%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$14.5m Vol.
7.5%Gavin Newsom$19.3m Vol.
6.4%Ron DeSantis$13.1m Vol.
3.3%Kamala Harris$9.8m Vol.
2.9%Pete Buttigieg$8.8m Vol.
2.6%Josh Shapiro$7.9m Vol.
1.8%Andy Beshear$19.6m Vol.
1.4%Donald Trump$11.3m Vol.
1.4%Tucker Carlson$14.6m Vol.
The 2026 midterm results, in which Democrats gained control of both chambers of Congress, represent the dominant recent driver of trader positioning in the 2028 presidential winner market. Jon Ossoff's Senate victory in Georgia lifted his contract as traders assessed his strengthened profile among Democratic contenders, while Republican setbacks weighed on JD Vance amid broader party challenges in a Trump administration. With no major candidates having declared and primary contests more than a year away, the field remains highly fragmented across senators, governors, and other figures from both parties. Upcoming developments such as formal announcements, early primary polling shifts, fundraising reports, and state-level positioning could begin to consolidate support and create clearer separation among the current leaders.
Rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.