Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
Start Date
2026-01-03
End Date
2027-01-01
24h Volume
$6K
Total Volume
$14.2M
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?4¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.