- Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?<1¢
- Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?<1¢
- Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?16¢
- Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain?<1¢
- Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain?<1¢
- Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?80¢
- Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain?<1¢
- Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain?<1¢
- Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain?<1¢
- Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?<1¢
- Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?4¢
- Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?<1¢
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads the market at 79.5% because sustained polling advantages for his Partido Popular, often in coalition with Vox, project a path to the 176-seat majority needed after the next general election due by August 2027. Multiple corruption investigations and convictions involving close PSOE allies have eroded support for incumbent Pedro Sánchez, whose minority government relies on fragmented regional partners and faces coalition erosion since late 2025. Aggregates show PP around 33% and PSOE near 26%, with limited legislative momentum under extended budgets. Sánchez trades at 16.3% as traders price in these structural headwinds, while Vox leader Santiago Abascal and others remain in single digits reflecting narrower coalition prospects. Recent regional results and approval trends reinforce the positioning without altering the election timeline.