- Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?93¢
- Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?8¢
- Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?<1¢
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Chiang Wan-an, the Kuomintang incumbent, holds a commanding lead in the November 28, 2026, Taipei mayoral race due to sustained high approval ratings near 65 percent, consistent polling margins of 25–40 points over Democratic Progressive Party nominee Puma Shen, and the city’s historical lean toward KMT candidates. His re-nomination was confirmed in July 2026, and candidate registration closed September 4 with six total entrants, including fringe contenders. Recent polling from late 2025 and mid-2026 showed Chiang at 55–65 percent support across demographics. A minor September controversy over his son’s education-exchange subsidy drew limited criticism but did not shift broader sentiment. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require major scandals, turnout surprises, or unexpected coalition shifts among smaller parties.