- Will MrBeast's next video get less than 56 million views on day 4?1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 57 million views on day 4?2¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 4?21¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 4?63¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 60 million views on day 4?14¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 4?4¢
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
MrBeast’s “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000” challenge, released August 22, has settled into a steady daily velocity that positions the 58–59 million bracket as the clear market favorite at 61 percent implied probability. After an early surge typical of high-stakes long-form content on the 514-million-subscriber channel, view gains have moderated into a narrow, consistent band, mirroring recent precedents where day-three totals in the low-to-mid 40 millions translated into day-four finishes clustered between 55 and 62 million. Traders are weighting the predictable algorithmic lift and shareability of challenge formats over any late acceleration, leaving secondary brackets at 23.5 percent (57–58M) and 16.5 percent (59–60M) while discounting both sub-56 million and 60 million-plus outcomes. The 96-hour resolution remains sensitive to any final-hour spikes.