Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 14, 2026?92¢
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 15, 2026?91¢
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 16, 2026?90¢
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 17, 2026?93¢
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 18, 2026?91¢
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 19, 2026?91¢
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 20, 2026?92¢
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 21, 2026?92¢
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 22, 2026?92¢
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?88¢
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 24, 2026?91¢
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 25, 2026?92¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
President Donald Trump’s pattern of public rhetoric, including ad hominem remarks during speeches and press events, shapes trader views on markets assessing whether he will issue a public insult on a given day. Recent examples include his July appearance at the rescheduled White House Correspondents’ Association Dinner, where he criticized named journalists and Democratic figures such as former President Biden and Senate leader Schumer. Additional recent statements targeting political rivals have occurred amid ongoing diplomatic tensions, including with Canada. Scheduled public remarks, executive actions, and responses to breaking news continue to serve as key near-term catalysts, with traders monitoring live coverage and official transcripts for resolution triggers.