- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?2¢2%
Ongoing UAP file releases through the PURSUE program, directed by President Trump in February 2026, have produced seven tranches of documents by late October, including recent witness accounts of unexplained objects near sensitive sites. These disclosures emphasize historical records and unresolved sightings but contain no official statements confirming extraterrestrial life or technology. AARO assessments continue to attribute resolved cases to conventional sources, while a November congressional hearing featured testimony on transparency without new evidence of nonhuman origin. Trump's recent remarks acknowledged pilot reports yet expressed personal skepticism, and proposed NDAA provisions for broader review remain in conference. With the December 31, 2026 resolution window approaching, traders assess the likelihood of an explicit federal confirmation as low absent a major policy shift or verified breakthrough.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.