This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Elon Musk's X activity over the August 24-26 window sits in a tight race between the 40-64 and 65-89 tweet bins, reflecting trader views of his typical daily cadence amid a quiet late-summer stretch. Recent patterns show Musk posting in bursts tied to Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, or political commentary, yet no major company announcements or breaking news cycles appear imminent to spike volume. Historical ranges place his three-day totals most often in the 40-80 band during low-event periods, with swings driven by engagement on trending topics or replies. The narrow gap between frontrunners underscores uncertainty around whether routine platform use or an unexpected catalyst will push totals higher, leaving room for late momentum shifts before the period closes.