"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
- Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 400m by August 31?<1¢
- Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31?<1¢
- Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31?<1¢
- Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31?<1¢
- Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?<1¢
- Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?71¢
- Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?26¢
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day opened to a record $360 million domestically on July 31 and has maintained exceptional momentum, crossing $700 million in just 13 days—the fastest pace for any film to reach that benchmark. Strong word-of-mouth, limited August competition, and per-screen averages that have outpaced recent MCU titles position the Tom Holland-led release for an 800–900 million finish by August 31, aligning with current trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability. Sustained daily grosses in the $13–20 million range during its third weekend and historical legs for event-level superhero films could push totals above $900 million if the current trajectory holds, though a sharper drop-off remains the key swing factor for that 27.3% outcome.