- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?14¢
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?6¢
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?14¢
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?10¢
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?8¢
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?3¢
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?8¢
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?2¢
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?2¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Traders price Elon Musk’s X activity for the final week of August 2026 around 160–259 tweets, with the 220–239 bin holding the highest implied probability at 18.5 percent. This consensus reflects his established pattern of high-volume posting driven by Tesla and xAI updates, political commentary, and real-time reactions to news, tempered by the absence of major product launches or crises in the immediate forecast. The spread across adjacent ranges highlights week-to-week variability tied to breaking events and his personal schedule, while lower-probability tails account for both unusually quiet periods and viral spikes. Historical weekly averages from recent months anchor the market without strong directional catalysts currently in play.