Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?
- Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?6¢
- Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?21¢
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly since 2020, secured re-election to another annual term in May 2026 with overwhelming support from the conservative majority in the 12th parliament. The position is decided yearly through an internal vote among lawmakers, so retention hinges on factional alignments, loyalty to Supreme Leader priorities, and avoidance of significant internal opposition. Recent developments include Ghalibaf's prominent role in statements on regional ceasefires, alleged US violations, and diplomatic overtures, which have kept him central to foreign policy signaling amid ongoing tensions. No major challenges or procedural shifts have surfaced since his latest confirmation, though the annual cycle leaves room for future leadership contests tied to broader political or geopolitical pressures.