Venezuela · GeopoliticsDelcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

• Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?8¢8%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Delcy Rodríguez ceases to be Acting President/leader of Venezuela for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Delcy Rodríguez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Delcy Rodríguez and the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Delcy Rodríguez serves as Venezuela’s acting president following Nicolás Maduro’s January 2026 capture by U.S. forces and subsequent removal from power. She leads an interim government engaged in U.S.-backed reconciliation talks with select opposition groups focused on reforming the Supreme Court, electoral council, and related institutions to enable future elections under renewed authorities. Recent developments include opposition leader María Corina Machado’s late-October return, which sparked large demonstrations demanding prompt presidential votes, alongside Rodríguez’s public commitments to elections without fixed dates and emphasis on broader institutional transformation. U.S. officials have pressed for progress on these reforms and signaled expectations around a 2027 timeline, creating ongoing pressure that shapes trader assessments of her leadership tenure amid the negotiated transition process.