This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Traders assign the highest probability to Zelenskyy making 60-79 posts during September 1-8, 2026, consistent with his established daily posting volume on platforms like X amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict. This range aligns with routine updates on military developments, diplomatic outreach, and official statements rather than spikes triggered by major escalations or summits. As of early September, no singular high-impact event such as new ceasefire talks, large-scale strikes, or leadership announcements has shifted activity outside historical norms, keeping lower and higher brackets at single-digit probabilities. Ongoing frontline reporting and alliance coordination continue to support steady engagement levels without pushing totals into outlier territory.