- Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?6¢
Recent US-brokered diplomacy, including technical-level trilateral talks proposed for late October and an energy ceasefire announced by President Trump, has not produced direct Zelenskyy-Putin contact amid renewed strikes on energy infrastructure. Ukraine has signaled readiness for meetings mediated by the US or Turkey and stated that a Zelenskyy-Putin summit could unlock prisoner exchanges or a ceasefire, yet Russia continues to reject temporary halts in favor of a comprehensive settlement on its terms. Kremlin statements emphasize that Moscow sees no value in pausing fighting without addressing core territorial and security demands, while Ukrainian officials note Putin has shown no indication of willingness to negotiate directly. These dynamics, combined with ongoing long-range attacks and stalled mediation, underpin trader pricing that assigns low probability to a direct conversation in the near term.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. Events that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.