- Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?23¢23%
Republican control of Congress has produced major legislation largely aligned with administration priorities, including the July budget package and permitting reforms, limiting opportunities for formal vetoes. President Trump has instead relied on pocket rescissions to address spending disputes and has allowed bipartisan measures, such as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, to become law without his signature after declining to veto. With lawmakers in recess ahead of the November midterms and few high-stakes bills expected to reach the White House before year-end, traders see limited prospects for additional veto confrontations in the remaining weeks of 2026.
Rules
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.