- Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2028?65¢65%
- Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2028?57¢57%
- Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2028?56¢56%
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2028?49¢49%
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2028?49¢49%
- Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2028?39¢39%
- Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2028?39¢39%
- Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2028?36¢36%
- Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2028?32¢32%
- Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2028?32¢32%
- Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2028?31¢31%
- Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2028?29¢29%
- 64.5%Howard Lutnick$40 Vol.
- 57.5%Pete Hegseth$345.8 Vol.
- 56.5%Kristi Noem
- 49%Robert F. Kennedy Jr.$50 Vol.
49%Kash Patel$20 Vol.- 39%Marco Rubio$160 Vol.
- 38.5%Lee Zeldin$20 Vol.
- 35.5%David Sacks$40 Vol.
- 32%John Ratcliffe$160 Vol.
- 31.5%Markwayne Mullin$20 Vol.
- 31%Tom Homan$20 Vol.
- 29%Scott Bessent$474.2 Vol.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.