- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?25¢25%
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?42¢42%
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?24¢24%
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?10¢10%
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?2¢2%
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?<1¢<1%
- 16%24.6%<40$17.7k Vol.
- 14%41.5%40-64$11.7k Vol.
- 14%24%65-89$4.6k Vol.
- 8%9.5%90-114$6.7k Vol.
- 7%1.9%115-139$4.6k Vol.
- 1%0.7%140-164$2.7k Vol.
- 1%0.3%165-189$4.6k Vol.
- 0.2%190-214$3.7k Vol.
Recent posting patterns position the 65-89 bracket as the trader favorite for November 12-14, reflecting an average of roughly 22-30 daily posts that aligns with the lower end of Elon Musk’s activity in early November. The prior week’s 36 daily average and multiple short-period settlements below 40 have cooled expectations from higher historical norms of 50-66 posts per day. Momentum in the 40-64 and 90-114 ranges captures the wide daily variance seen in recent tracking, where quiet stretches alternate with bursts tied to Tesla, SpaceX, or X developments. With no major announcements or events scheduled to spike engagement over the three-day window, the market-implied odds emphasize continuity in his established cadence rather than an outlier surge.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 12 12:00 PM ET to November 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.