- Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?22¢22%
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?10¢10%
- Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?8¢8%
- Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?7¢7%
- Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?6¢6%
- Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?6¢6%
- Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?5¢5%
- Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?5¢5%
- Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?4¢4%
- Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?4¢4%
- Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?4¢4%
- Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?4¢4%
2%22.3%Rahm Emanuel$27.3k Vol.
9.5%Gavin Newsom$106.4k Vol.
8.5%Andy Beshear$42.7k Vol.
7.2%Mark Kelly$16k Vol.
6.4%Pete Buttigieg$33.8k Vol.
5.5%Rand Paul$20.6k Vol.
5.3%Ted Cruz$19.7k Vol.
4.5%Raphael Warnock$5.4k Vol.
4.4%Tucker Carlson$34.5k Vol.
4.1%Steve Bannon$27.5k Vol.
1%3.8%Kamala Harris$85.6k Vol.
1%3.8%Beto O’Rourke$12.3k Vol.
The November 3, 2026 midterms, in which Democrats gained control of both chambers of Congress, removed a key barrier for potential 2028 contenders and opened the window for announcements before 2027. No major-party figure has yet filed with the Federal Election Commission or launched a campaign, consistent with historical patterns in which the first serious bids typically appear between one week and four months after midterms. Several high-profile names, including Vice President JD Vance, former Vice President Kamala Harris, Governor Gavin Newsom, Senator Cory Booker, and Governor Josh Shapiro, have left the door open or signaled post-election decisions, with some expecting clarity by early January. Exploratory activity, such as draft committees, has begun for figures like Representative Ro Khanna, while others have ruled out runs. Traders are monitoring polling leads, fundraising starts, and scheduled statements for the first major declarations.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.