Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?42¢
- Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?59¢
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
With President Trump term-limited after his 2024 victory, the 2028 contest features open nominations for both parties. Early polling and prediction markets show Democratic contenders such as Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom often competitive or ahead in hypothetical general-election matchups against Republican frontrunners JD Vance and Marco Rubio. Trader consensus on the Democratic edge reflects historical patterns of incumbent-party challenges in open races, combined with Democratic name recognition and the approaching 2026 midterms that could reshape congressional control and momentum heading into primaries.