Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
- Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?23¢
- Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?3¢
- Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?6¢
- Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?3¢
- Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?14¢
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?12¢
- Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?16¢
- Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?47¢
- Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?5¢
- Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?5¢
- Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?12¢
- Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?10¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Diplomatic normalization with Israel has remained limited since the Abraham Accords, with no new formal recognitions by additional UN member states reported through mid-2026. Roughly 23-29 UN members continue to withhold recognition, primarily Arab League and OIC states whose positions link any change to progress on Palestinian statehood, as reaffirmed in Saudi statements. Recent catalysts include US diplomatic pressure tying Saudi nuclear agreements to Abraham Accords participation, alongside waves of new Palestinian state recognitions by European and other governments in 2025. Scheduled events such as UNGA sessions, G7 discussions on the two-state solution, and ongoing Gaza reconstruction talks could influence bilateral announcements before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Trader assessments reflect these structural barriers and conditional diplomatic pathways.