Which bills will become law in 2026?
- Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year?46¢
- Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year?23¢
- Will Film/TV production expensing become law this year?38¢
- Will Export-control chip security become law this year?48¢
- Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?30¢
- Will Trump Airport become law this year?7¢
- Will $2.50 Coin become law this year?9¢
- Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?27¢
- Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?17¢
- Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year?6¢
- Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?15¢
- Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?43¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if X is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trump's second-term priorities and the approaching November 2026 midterms shape the legislative calendar. With Republicans holding unified government through the election, Congress has advanced targeted measures including appropriations via continuing resolutions, Senate Agriculture Committee markup on the farm bill, and House passage of a congressional stock-trading ban. The administration's July 2026 regulatory agenda emphasizes deregulation across energy, environment, immigration, and workforce rules, prompting related legislative efforts on permitting reform and program reauthorizations. Post-midterm shifts in House or Senate control could narrow the window for new enactments, while budget deadlines and must-pass spending bills remain primary vehicles for any major 2026 laws. Traders weigh historical midterm losses by the president's party against the current slim legislative output.