What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

PoliticsFedFed RatesEconomyJerome PowellEconomic PolicyMacro Indicators
Start Date
2025-11-18
End Date
2026-12-31
24h Volume
$20K
Total Volume
$1.8M
  • Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?3¢
  • Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?3¢
  • Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?3¢
  • Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?3¢
  • Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?2¢
  • Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?3¢
  • Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?2¢
  • Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?3¢
  • Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?3¢
  • Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?10¢
  • Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?3¢
  • Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?3¢

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.

Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, resilient labor market conditions, and geopolitical tensions driving higher oil prices have shifted market-implied odds toward possible federal funds rate hikes in late 2026. The target range stands at 3.50–3.75% following the July 2026 hold, with three FOMC dissents favoring a 25-basis-point increase and futures pricing a move toward 3.8% by November and roughly 4.1% by mid-2027. June dot-plot medians projected 3.75–4.00% by year-end 2026. Key catalysts ahead include the September FOMC meeting and incoming CPI and PCE releases that could alter the path before 2027 resolution.