- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?100¢100%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September?100¢100%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in September?100¢100%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in September?100¢100%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in September?100¢100%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in September?100¢100%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in September?100¢100%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in September?100¢100%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in September?100¢100%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in September?100¢100%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in September?100¢100%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September?100¢100%
Gold prices faced significant downward pressure in September 2026 amid a hawkish Federal Reserve shift, including a 25-basis-point rate hike on September 16 that lifted the target range to 3.75–4.00%. This fueled market-implied odds of roughly 70% for an October follow-up move, pushing 10-year Treasury yields to 5.23%—their highest since 2007—and supporting a stronger dollar. Elevated oil prices above $100 per barrel, tied to Middle East tensions, amplified inflation concerns and real-yield headwinds, contributing to a roughly 6–7% monthly decline that took spot XAUUSD from near $4,400 early in the period to lows around $4,110 before a modest rebound on softer core PCE prints. Counterbalancing support came from record central bank purchases and ETF inflows, though these proved insufficient to offset the macro tightening narrative as the month closed near $4,180–$4,200.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.