- Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?97¢97%
The high trader consensus on a "Yes" outcome stems primarily from official confirmation of a first-ever trilateral meeting among U.S. President Donald Trump, Chinese President Xi Jinping, and Russian President Vladimir Putin on the sidelines of the APEC summit in Shenzhen, scheduled for mid-November 2026. The White House has announced the gathering, with Beijing acknowledging ongoing communications, and the leaders are expected to appear together for discussions on nuclear non-proliferation and other topics. This event, occurring well before 2027, aligns directly with the market's resolution criteria. While the plans reflect sustained diplomatic engagement between the three powers, realistic factors that could still shift probabilities include last-minute cancellations due to health concerns, unresolved bilateral tensions, or procedural disputes over the meeting format.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Xi Jinping are photographed or videotaped together, in the same frame, between this market's creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing. The resolution source for this market will be the images or video of Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Xi Jinping together.