- Trump meets with Putin by November 30?96¢96%
- Trump meets with Putin by December 31?97¢97%
- 1%95.5%November 30$63.7k Vol.
- 2%97.2%December 31$289.6k Vol.
US-Russia diplomatic channels have intensified amid efforts to address the Ukraine conflict, with President Trump’s envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner holding multiple meetings with Vladimir Putin in St. Petersburg and Moscow through November 2026. Trump met Putin’s envoy Kirill Dmitriev privately at the White House on November 5 following a humanitarian event, while technical talks between US, Russian, and Ukrainian representatives occurred in Abu Dhabi. A prior bilateral summit took place in Anchorage in 2025, and proposals for broader trilateral engagement have surfaced. These developments reflect active negotiation on security arrangements and potential ceasefires, with scheduled follow-on discussions that could facilitate or delay direct leader-level contact depending on progress in the coming weeks.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.