- Trump meets with Kim Jong Un by December 31, 2027?57¢57%
- Trump meets with Kim Jong Un by June 30, 2027?30¢30%
- Trump meets with Kim Jong Un by December 31, 2026?7¢7%
- 57.5%December 31, 2027$92.3 Vol.
- 1%29.5%June 30, 2027$90.7 Vol.
- 1%7%December 31, 2026$2.3k Vol.
President Donald Trump has repeatedly signaled openness to renewed personal diplomacy with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, citing their prior three meetings and describing the relationship positively while scaling back some joint U.S.-South Korea military exercises. However, Pyongyang has provided no response to U.S. outreach, with Kim Yo-jong explicitly rejecting further talks amid fresh U.S. sanctions and FBI accusations of cryptocurrency theft exceeding $6 billion. North Korea appears to prioritize ties with Russia and China, seeking major concessions including sanctions relief and acceptance of its nuclear status before any engagement, rendering a 2026 summit on the sidelines of the APEC gathering in Shenzhen or similar venues highly unlikely according to U.S. and South Korean officials. Trader consensus reflects these barriers, with resolution hinging on verifiable bilateral contact within the market's timeframe.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Kim Jong Un between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Kim are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.