Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner
- Will Michael Foust win the Tallahassee mayoral election?<1¢
- Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?39¢
- Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?7¢
- Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election?<1¢
- Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?54¢
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
Recent polling and fundraising reports position former state Sen. Loranne Ausley as the narrow frontrunner ahead of the August 18 primary, with City Commissioner Jeremy Matlow close behind and attorney Daryl Parks further back. A late-July survey showed Ausley at 29% and Matlow at 24%, consistent with trader consensus favoring a runoff matchup. Significant PAC spending and mailers targeting Matlow, alongside union endorsements for Ausley, have reinforced her edge while highlighting divisions among the four-candidate field. Early voting is underway, and campaign finance totals through mid-June underscore Parks’ strong fundraising as a potential spoiler. The nonpartisan contest’s structure, requiring a majority for outright victory, keeps the race competitive and focused on which two candidates advance to November.