- Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?99¢99%
- Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?<1¢<1%
- Will Michael Foust win the Tallahassee mayoral election?<1¢<1%
- Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?<1¢<1%
- Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election?<1¢<1%
Jeremy Matlow secured a narrow victory in the November 3 runoff for Tallahassee mayor, capturing roughly 51 percent of the vote against Loranne Ausley after advancing from the August primary where he led with 36 percent. Strong support from Southside districts and student-heavy areas around Florida State University drove the outcome, reversing prior voting patterns and overcoming Ausley’s advantages in fundraising and Northeast precincts. The concurrent win by Matlow-backed candidate P.J. Perez in a city commission race also consolidated progressive influence on the council. With results now reported across all precincts, trader consensus reflects these confirmed tallies. Late challenges such as recounts, certification disputes, or legal contests remain the primary factors that could still shift implied probabilities before final resolution.
Rules
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.