Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero leads trader pricing for the June 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial election, driven by his consistent top position in recent PAN internal surveys and statewide preference polls that show the party maintaining an edge on economic performance, foreign investment, and security metrics. Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera remains the clearest intra-party rival, with polls sometimes placing him ahead among PAN sympathizers and creating uncertainty over the final nomination. Morena-linked names such as Santiago Nieto Castillo register lower but highlight the opposition’s potential to narrow the gap depending on candidate selection and turnout. The tight internal PAN contest and limited movement in broader polling averages keep probabilities clustered near even for most listed contenders, with separation likely to emerge from official party processes or new surveys released before the primary season.