- Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?14¢
- Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?70¢
- Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?1¢
- Will Catherine McKenney win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?<1¢
- Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?13¢
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Mark Sutcliffe holds a commanding lead in the Ottawa mayoral race as the incumbent seeking a second term in the October 26, 2026, election. His position reflects strong name recognition from his 2022 victory, a broad slate of endorsements from former mayors and cross-party figures, and early campaign focus on transit expansion, rural infrastructure funding, and housing supply targets. Challengers Alex Lawson and Jeff Leiper have released detailed platforms on development fees, non-profit housing, and transparency but remain in a distant second tier, with vote-splitting among additional candidates including Neil Saravanamuttoo further limiting their prospects. Recent developments such as the August nomination deadline, Sutcliffe’s rural platform rollout, and negative exchanges over policy positions have reinforced trader consensus around the incumbent’s advantages ahead of advance voting periods.