Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?2¢
- Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?<1¢
- Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?<1¢
- Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?6¢
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?67¢
- Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?<1¢
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?26¢
- Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?<1¢
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
United Russia maintains a commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the incumbent ruling party, extensive regional organization, and alignment with federal institutions. Recent state polling from VTsIOM and FOM consistently places it well ahead of other contenders in vote intention, while its performance in 2025 regional contests reinforced expectations of a large seat haul under the mixed electoral system. New People registers as the clearest secondary option in some surveys, benefiting from its parliamentary presence and younger voter outreach, yet remains far behind in projected totals. Other parties, including LDPR and KPRF, show limited movement amid restricted campaign environments and low single-digit support. The recent barring of Yabloko further narrows the field without materially altering the frontrunner dynamic. These patterns explain trader consensus around established party-list and constituency outcomes.