- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?100¢100%
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0¢0%
- Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0¢0%
- Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0¢0%
- Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0¢0%
- Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0¢0%
- Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0¢0%
- Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0¢0%
- Will Other gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0¢0%
- Will Party B gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0¢0%
- Will Party C gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0¢0%
- Will Party D gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0¢0%
Preliminary results from Russia's State Duma election show United Russia securing a commanding lead with approximately 58% of the party-list vote and victories in over 200 of 225 single-mandate districts, positioning the party for roughly 350 seats in the 450-seat chamber and another constitutional majority. This performance in the mixed electoral system, combining proportional representation and constituency races, reflects the ruling party's entrenched organizational advantages and the limited competition from other registered parties that cleared or approached the 5% threshold. The vote occurred amid ongoing conflict in Ukraine, with turnout near 60%. While official certification is pending and minor adjustments in final tallies remain possible, the scale of the current margins makes shifts in the seat leader highly improbable absent extraordinary developments in the counting process.
Rules
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.