- Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?14¢14%
Natalie Harp continues to serve as special assistant and executive assistant to President Trump, maintaining a highly visible role in the White House and at recent campaign events. As of mid-October 2026, she has accompanied the president at rallies, including in Alaska, handled printed materials and social media tasks, and participated in internal discussions such as press secretary hiring. No official announcements, resignations, or personnel changes have indicated her departure, and reporting portrays her as a consistent presence with direct access to the president. With the December 31 resolution date approaching and no evident catalysts for removal in the coming weeks, trader consensus reflects the absence of developments that would alter her current status.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.