- Will Hsu Shu-hua win the next Nantou County Magistrate election?96¢96%
- Will Wen Shih-cheng win the next Nantou County Magistrate election?4¢4%
Hsu Shu-hua, the incumbent Kuomintang magistrate seeking re-election in the November 28, 2026, Nantou County magistrate race, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus driven by her established record in local infrastructure, agricultural support, long-term care initiatives, and transportation improvements such as the happiness bus service. Recent campaign activity, including joint headquarters launches with township candidates and high-profile endorsements from KMT figures, has reinforced her position in a county held by the party since 2005. The main challenger, Democratic Progressive Party candidate Wen Shih-cheng, trails significantly amid limited reported momentum shifts. Late developments such as turnout surprises, major policy reversals, or external events could still alter the outcome before voting concludes.
Rules
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).