- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be less than 600,000?2¢2%
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 600,000 and 700,000?10¢10%
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 700,000 and 800,000?2¢2%
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 800,000 and 900,000?12¢12%
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 900,000 and 1,000,000?45¢45%
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 1,000,000 and 1,100,000?49¢49%
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be 1,100,000 or more?25¢25%
Voter turnout projections for the Mississippi Senate election first round remain tightly clustered between the 800K-900K and 1M-1.1M ranges due to balanced campaign mobilization efforts and historical midterm participation patterns in the state. Competitive candidate matchups have driven standard get-out-the-vote operations without unusual surges in early or absentee voting that might otherwise shift totals. Uncertainty around election-day weather, last-minute voter enthusiasm among key demographics, and the impact of any final-week advertising or endorsements continue to limit separation between the leading bins. Scheduled factors such as confirmed early voting data releases or polling updates on turnout intentions could still alter trader consensus before resolution.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.