- Will Nasir Idris win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election?87¢87%
- Will Abubakar Malami win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election?10¢10%
Nasir Idris, the incumbent APC governor seeking re-election on January 16, 2027, holds the strongest trader consensus due to recent stakeholder endorsements highlighting infrastructure, education, healthcare, and welfare gains during his term. INEC’s final candidate list released in mid-October confirmed Idris alongside 13 others, including ADC’s Abubakar Malami, while excluding the PDP amid internal defections and divisions. Opposition efforts by Malami, including campaign council formation and policy critiques, face pushback from labor groups and government responses to reports on poverty and security. Multiple defections to the APC and cross-party support for the incumbent have reinforced expectations of continuity in the state’s electoral dynamics.
Rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kebbi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.