- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?21¢21%
The ongoing federal prosecution of former FBI Director James Comey centers on a 2026 North Carolina indictment alleging threats against the president via a 2025 social media post, with a second set of Virginia charges previously dismissed on procedural grounds. A federal judge granted a defense motion in September 2026 to delay arraignment until January 2027 and trial until February 2027, while Comey’s pending motions to dismiss on First Amendment and selective prosecution grounds remain unresolved. Appellate review of the Virginia dismissals continues without a final ruling restoring those counts. These scheduling and litigation timelines indicate no near-term resolution or dismissal is expected before year-end, aligning with the market’s strong consensus against charges being dropped by December 31.
Rules
Former FBI director James Comey was indicted on April 28 (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/04/28/politics/justice-department-indicts-ex-fbi-director-james-comey-again). This market will resolve to "Yes" if all charges against James Comey stemming from this indictment are officially dropped, dismissed, withdrawn, or reduced to a non-felony charge by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the department of Justice, any relevant court, or an official statement from Comey or his legal representatives. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.