- Will Trump issue 0-4 vetoes by December 31, 2027?18¢18%
- Will Trump issue 5-9 vetoes by December 31, 2027?16¢16%
- Will Trump issue 10-14 vetoes by December 31, 2027?14¢14%
- Will Trump issue 15-19 vetoes by December 31, 2027?22¢22%
- Will Trump issue 20-24 vetoes by December 31, 2027?27¢27%
- Will Trump issue 25-29 vetoes by December 31, 2027?19¢19%
- Will Trump issue 30+ vetoes by December 31, 2027?13¢13%
Republican control of Congress has reduced immediate conflicts over legislation, keeping early veto counts low as priorities align on spending and policy measures. Fiscal deadlines and appropriations fights remain the main catalysts that could increase veto activity, especially if riders or funding levels diverge from administration goals. The 2026 midterms introduce uncertainty over future majorities, with historical patterns showing higher veto totals under divided government. Traders view the 15-24 range as the consensus sweet spot because sustained unified control would cap totals near the lower end while persistent budget disputes or opposition gains could push toward the middle, leaving room for shifts from scheduled votes or legislative outcomes through 2027.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the exact number of bills and joint resolutions Donald Trump vetoes between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. A veto means the President returns a bill or joint resolution to Congress without signature, with objections, as provided in Article I, Section 7 of the U.S. Constitution, or a pocket veto. A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred on the date the bill or joint resolution is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto does not take effect until after December 31, 2027. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. Veto threats, Statements of Administration Policy, and signing statements will not qualify. Each vetoed bill or joint resolution counts as one veto, whether or not Congress later overrides it. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, including Congress.gov and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.