- Will Samuel Garcia be out as Governor of Nuevo Leon by December 31, 2026?5¢5%
Samuel García remains governor of Nuevo León through October 2027 under the 2021-2027 term, with recent trader focus shaped by legislative clashes over his fifth government report and an ongoing juicio político in Congress for alleged public resource issues. Opposition parties have condemned his repeated absences from legislative sessions and advanced procedural steps in the political trial, though a Supreme Court suspension has blocked removal or disqualification pending full resolution. García has publicly reaffirmed plans to finish his mandate, citing completed infrastructure and strong state performance metrics. High approval ratings near 74 percent in recent local polling reflect sustained public support amid these institutional frictions, while scheduled 2027 elections and any further court or congressional actions represent key variables that could influence departure timelines.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Samuel García ceases to be the Governor of Nuevo León, Mexico, for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Samuel García’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Samuel García and the government of Nuevo León; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.