- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?1¢1%
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?14¢14%
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?39¢39%
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?31¢31%
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?11¢11%
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?4¢4%
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?1¢1%
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?<1¢<1%
- 5%1.4%<40$17.3k Vol.
- 22%14%40-64$13.8k Vol.
- 4%38.5%65-89$9.6k Vol.
- 14%30.5%90-114$15.7k Vol.
- 5%11%115-139$8.2k Vol.
- 2%4.4%140-164$9.7k Vol.
- 1%1.4%165-189$11.5k Vol.
- 0.3%190-214$21.5k Vol.
- 0.2%215-239$5.5k Vol.
Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume posting on X drives the market's strongest consensus around 65-89 tweets for the November 14-16 window, reflecting typical daily output of roughly 20-30 messages amid ongoing platform engagement and public commentary. Traders weigh his recent activity levels, which have hovered in this range during comparable short periods without major external disruptions, against historical precedents of fluctuating intensity tied to news cycles or personal initiatives. The secondary clustering in the 40-64 and 90-114 brackets captures uncertainty around potential spikes from breaking events or quieter stretches, while lower-probability tails account for outliers. Upcoming weekend dynamics and any late-week announcements remain the key swing factors that could shift momentum before the period closes.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 14 12:00 PM ET to November 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.