Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Wang Mei-hui, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee and sitting legislator for the Chiayi City constituency, holds a commanding lead in trader pricing due to consistent polling advantages and unified party backing ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections. Recent surveys, including a May 2026 TVBS poll, showed her ahead of the main opposition contender by roughly six points, with stronger support among older voters offsetting the challenger’s edge with younger demographics. The Kuomintang and Taiwan People’s Party have coordinated behind a single opposition candidate, former legislator Chang Chi-kai, following his victory in a joint nomination process; this consolidation has narrowed the field but has not yet closed the gap in head-to-head matchups. Minor candidates, including independents and lower-polling party figures, register negligible support, leaving the race centered on the DPP’s organizational strength and the city’s recent electoral patterns favoring the ruling party’s nominee. The three-month campaign window leaves room for shifts from platform releases or turnout dynamics, yet current pricing reflects the structural edge held by the leading contender.