- Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?87¢87%
- Will Wei Ping-cheng win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?9¢9%
- Will Chiu Chien-fu win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?2¢2%
- Will Huang Hsiu-fang win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?<1¢<1%
- Will Lin Shih-hsien win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?<1¢<1%
- Will Hung Jung-chang win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?<1¢<1%
Chen Su-yueh maintains a dominant position in the Changhua County magistrate race due to consistent polling leads of roughly double her nearest rival amid widespread voter indecision. The DPP candidate benefits from established local networks and unified party backing ahead of the November 28 vote. In contrast, the KMT's direct nomination of Wei Ping-cheng followed prolonged internal disputes over contenders, resulting in limited factional mobilization and muted public endorsement from the outgoing magistrate. Recent mid-October surveys underscore Chen's favorability edge while highlighting the opposition's challenges consolidating support in a county where local alliances often determine outcomes. Trader consensus prices these structural factors heavily in her favor.
Rules
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).