- Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?52¢
- Will Esteban Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?<1¢
- Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?8¢
- Will Facundo Manes win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?<1¢
- Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?<1¢
- Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?3¢
- Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?<1¢
- Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?36¢
- Will Juan Schiaretti win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?<1¢
- Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?2¢
- Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?<1¢
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Javier Milei holds a polling edge in most 2026 surveys for a 2027 first-round vote, typically in the low 30s percent range against a fragmented field, while Axel Kicillof emerges as the strongest Peronist alternative with 15-27 percent depending on the matchup. Recent QSocial, RDT, and Tendencias polls show Milei leading head-to-head scenarios by narrow margins or within error, though some balotaje tests tighten or flip when opposition consolidates. Traders assign Milei the leading implied probability amid his incumbency and La Libertad Avanza's organizational edge, tempered by approval ratings near 34-40 percent, disapproval above 60 percent, and economic fatigue. Kicillof's share reflects his consistent positioning as the main challenger capable of unifying Peronist votes in a runoff. Lower odds on Sergio Massa and others track their weaker standalone polling and limited recent momentum.