- Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026?11¢11%
Anwar Ibrahim continues to lead Malaysia’s unity government as prime minister amid coalition frictions and institutional reform efforts. Recent developments include the Conference of Rulers reviewing proposed constitutional amendments to limit the prime minister’s tenure, which Anwar has pledged to pursue despite lacking a two-thirds parliamentary majority for passage. Internal strains have surfaced through ministerial resignations tied to the Najib Razak pardon process and shifting alliances ahead of the November 14 Melaka state election, a key test for his Pakatan Harapan-led bloc. Diplomatic engagements on haze management and regional issues have drawn mixed reactions but have not altered his position. Traders monitor coalition stability, reform outcomes, and state poll results as primary factors that could influence any early leadership transition.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anwar Ibrahim ceases to be Prime Minister of Malaysia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.