- Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?55¢55%
- Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?33¢33%
- Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?13¢13%
- Will Ricardo Rodríguez Vargas win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?<1¢<1%
- Will Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?<1¢<1%
- Will Kendor Macías win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?<1¢<1%
- Will Leticia Olivares win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?<1¢<1%
- Will Arturo Ávila Anaya win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?<1¢<1%
- Will Salma Luévano Luna win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?<1¢<1%
- Will Genny Janeth López Valenzuela win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?<1¢<1%
- Will Ana Gómez Calzada win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?<1¢<1%
- Will Aldo Ruiz Sánchez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?<1¢<1%
Recent October 2026 polls show the PAN maintaining a 10-19 point lead over Morena in party identification and hypothetical general election matchups for the June 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial race. Antonio Martín del Campo leads PAN internal preference surveys by wide margins, though recent measurements indicate a tightening contest with municipal president Leonardo Montañez Castro. Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez coordinates Morena’s process after her 2022 nomination, while PRI and Movimiento Ciudadano profiles remain marginal. With formal candidacies still pending and internal selection deadlines approaching in November, trader positioning reflects the incumbent party’s structural edge alongside uncertainty over nominee consolidation and any late shifts in voter sentiment ahead of the June ballot.
Rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.