The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
France's 2027 presidential election, set for the first round on 18 April and a potential runoff on 2 May, features an unusually crowded field driven by Emmanuel Macron's ineligibility under consecutive term limits and deep fragmentation across centrist, left, and traditional right blocs. Marine Le Pen's July 2026 candidacy announcement, enabled by a shortened appeals court ruling on her prior conviction, has reinforced National Rally positioning in polls alongside Jordan Bardella. On the right, Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April 2026 without a broader primary. The left faces ongoing divisions, with a planned October 2026 United Left primary unlikely to produce a single candidate amid separate bids from figures such as Jean-Luc Mélenchon. Candidates must still collect 500 parrainages from elected officials across departments to reach the ballot.