- Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?97¢97%
- Will Kathleen Taylor win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?2¢2%
Kate Marshall holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Reno mayoral race following her strong June primary performance, where she captured nearly 45 percent of the vote against a crowded field. The November 3 general election pits her against Kathleen Taylor, who advanced with about 19 percent and brings local city council and housing authority experience. Trader consensus reflects Marshall’s broader statewide profile from prior roles as Nevada treasurer and lieutenant governor, combined with extensive fundraising and endorsements. Recent debates have centered on housing affordability, data center impacts, and city budgeting, with both candidates outlining first-100-days priorities around these issues. The two-week timeline to election day leaves limited room for major shifts absent late developments.
Rules
The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.